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Monday Preview

June 6, 2022
Here are some key stats and data points on stocks LikeFolio is watching this week: 

Yum! Brands (YUM)
  • YUM Brands (YUM) demand is surging, most recently propelled by a more successful-than-expected launch of Taco Bell's Mexican Pizza.
  • LikeFolio mentions of ordering Mexican Pizza from Taco Bell surged +185% higher vs. the last time the fast-food chain released the menu item 2 years ago.
  • YUM shares are trading -14% lower in 2022, mostly due to underperformance in China and anticipated headwinds from suspended business in Russia.
  • YUM is outperforming fast-food peers among English speakers, as consumers increasingly seek on-the-go options.
  • Collectively, fast-food demand has risen by +26% YoY as consumers resume busy travel and social schedules.
Five Below (FIVE)
  • Discount retailer Five Below will post earnings for its latest quarter after market Wednesday, June 8th.
  • With inflation rising, and Deal Discovery mentions climbing at +53% YoY, FIVE Purchase Intent and Overall Mentions are also creeping higher.
  • Based on a 30-day moving average, consumer Purchase Intent Mentions are trending at +40% QoQ and +5% YoY, while Overall Mentions are pacing at +13% YoY.
AutoZone (AZO)
  • AutoZone is outperforming its peers (ORLY and AAP) within the auto part sector. 
  • AZO maintains more than 85% of overall auto parts retail mention volume and shows signs of market share expansion.
  • Additionally, DIY Auto Maintenance is on track to peak high this season, currently pacing +15% higher on a year-over-year basis.
  • On its third-quarter earnings report, AutoZone beat analyst expectations, sending the stock higher. But will continued supply chain issues eventually catch up with auto part retailers?
DocuSign (DOCU)
  • DocuSign, a recent addition to the LikeFolio coverage list, is reporting earnings after market Thursday, June 9. 
  • Consumer Happiness is pacing at +2% QoQ and +6% YoY, giving it a positive sentiment score of ~72%
  • However, demand is slowing with consumer Purchase Intent at -8% YoY, driven by a decline in work from home trends. 
  • The company’s previous revenue guidance disappointed, and while demand is still well above pre-pandemic levels, DOCU shares are down more than 70% from their post-pandemic highs.
CVS Health Corporation (CVS)
  • CVS hasn’t been too significantly impacted by the broader market downturn this year, with its shares down only 8% in 2022. 
  • Nevertheless, the stock is one to watch this week. Demand is now declining at -32% QoQ and -2% YoY, fueled by a drop-off in Purchase Intent for its Pharmacy and Health services.
  • Overall Mentions are sliding too, pacing  -30% YoY.
  • Consumer demand for its competitors is also falling (Rite-Aid -31% YoY, Walgreens -20% YoY), but their respective stocks have seen larger year-to-date declines.  
  • So, could we see a dip in CVS this week?

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