Information is our nourishment. Say hello to the data gods.
Meet Our Team
Consumers speak. We listen, analyze, and dig deep. You win!
Learn More
Receive alerts and reports to power your fund management. Partner with our team of analysts to take your research to the next level.
Learn More
Plug our consumer-demand-data directly into your client-facing software, tools, and platform or work with us to create custom, high-value content your customers will love.
Learn More
Testing our data is like jumping in a time machine to compare market gains and losses against reliable and annotated historical data.
Learn More
Track specific tickers, receive alerts, and watch sector-specific trends. Drill down on individual stocks and see where consumer sentiment aligned with gains and losses in trading.
Learn More
Who We Serve
LikeFolio is your research secret weapon to sniff out game-changing shifts in the market before they happen.
Learn More
LikeFolio is source of quantitative data based upon real consumer insights to power your investment engine.
Learn More
LikeFolio is your content pipeline positioning your tool as an indispensable resource to your customers.
Learn More
LikeFolio has partnered with Tradesmith to build Derby City Insights and bring our powerful insights engine to private investors.
Learn More

RCL’s Big Bet

January 31, 2024

Royal Caribbean is following a tough act as its family-fun-but-less-expensive-and-a-little-cheesier peer, Carnival, took the market by surprise last quarter.

Carnival Cruise's earnings report last month showed a significant improvement in revenue and passenger capacity numbers in 2023, with record-breaking revenue, occupancy, and passenger numbers surpassing pre-pandemic levels.

LikeFolio data suggests that Royal Caribbean is poised to follow suit for 3 big reasons:

Mentions have grown at the same rate as Carnival YoY (+6% for CCL and RCL):

Web visits are growing by even more than Carnival (a good nod for future bookings):

RCL boasts higher happiness levels:

Royal Caribbean (RCL) is experiencing high consumer satisfaction largely due to its unique and adventurous onboard activities, including ice skating, rock climbing, and surfing simulators, which offer an exciting and diverse cruise experience. And speaking of experiences…

RCL’s new Icon of the Sea ship is setting major records as the Cruise Line goes BIG: Largest cruise ship in the world: At 250,600 gross tons, it surpasses the previous record holder, Wonder of the Seas, by 6% in size.

From a price per cruise perspective, RCL is goldilocks – not too high (NCLH), not too low (CCL).

While it may be tempting to play this to the upside, we should consider the bar and potential headwinds from conflicts in the Middle East. RCL stock has outperformed CCL and NCLH on a 3 month, 6 month, and YoY basis, with shares trading +84% higher than they were in 2023 vs. CCL at +39% and NCLH at +6% in the same time frame.

Looking ahead, data supports continued outperformance by RCL: winners are gonna win!

However, we wouldn't be surprised to see a muted response (or even a temporary dip) if earnings aren't gangbusters. We're currently on the sidelines, but this name is best of breed and we are buyers of a dip. Gamblers may not be ablet to resist.

As an aside, if Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) can get costs under control, this may be one ready to pop. We’ll keep an eye out…

Related Posts

Cruise Line Sentiment Shows Sign of Recovery

Cruise Line Sentiment Shows Sign of Recovery As shares for […]

Read More
5 Things Investors Should Know: CCL Earnings

5 Things Investors Should Know: CCL Earnings 1. Consumer Demand […]

Read More
Has the Omicron Variant Spooked Travelers?

Has the Omicron Variant Spooked Travelers? Nope. Here's what that […]

Read More
1 2 3

Related Posts

Related Reports


Get FREE insights in your inbox every week with the Daily Drop.

About LikeFolio

LikeFolio analyzes social media data to accurately predict shifts in consumer behavior. We sell data and insights to professional investors, corporate research teams, and software providers.

Partner Sites

© 2024
 LikeFolio. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy
Terms of Use
LikeFolio userslaptop-phonepie-chartselect